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Infinity Q
Submitted 2018-10-03 10:46:32 Macro Vol Commentary-

The normal summer doldrums were interrupted toward the end of the month with Facebook earnings providing a slight hiccup to the domestic equity market vol crush that marked the first few weeks of July. We believe one of the main catalysts driving the slight pick-up in realized volatility was an earnings miss from the social networking behemoth that caused a subsequent -20% sell-off in the stock. This move seemed to ruin the persistently over-crowded 鈥渓ong FAANG鈥?trade that we saw investors aggressively rotate into post the February 鈥淰olpocalypse鈥? We believe this sparked an unwind of investors who had entered into the trade lacking major conviction and resulted in the Nasdaq dropping more than -4% over the last few trading days of the month. As a result Cheap Emmitt Smith Jersey , we saw a bid in implied Volatility Hedge Funds overall and a significant jump in Nasdaq implied vol, ending the month trading at a more than 6pt premium to the VIX Tony Pollard Jersey , suggesting very expensive cost to own US tech volatility going forward. That being said, we believe that the relatively muted broad market vol response since then suggests relatively low probability of a sustained follow through and perhaps a return to the 鈥渄og days of summer鈥?on the horizon for August. European vol markets were slightly less eventful Connor McGovern Jersey , with a potential Europe-US tariff ceasefire buoying European markets and driving implied volatility lower in both the front and long ends of the curve. This news, along with improving economic growth amidst extremely dovish European Central Bank led to a flattening of SX5E skew and most European implied vol indicators moving into bullish territory. Meanwhile in Asia Trysten Hill Jersey , NKY volatility seems rich, perhaps signifying low confidence in the BoJ having the tools at its disposal to be able to navigate through any sustained period of turmoil.

Cross-Asset Volatility Monitor-

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